Mar 29 2025
Mar.29.2025 RTTR Precap: Florida Derby, Arkansas Derby, Fantasy, GP Oaks
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March 29, 2025. Welcome to the Weekend Winners Club Weekly Podcast. Today we cover major 3yo stakes races on the road to the roses, and the Kentucky Oaks as well. First thing you should do is download today’s free grid below or just use the snapshot image to follow along.
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Let’s start with Gulfstream park and the GP Oaks for 3yo fillies. It’s a short field so not a good betting race, but if you’re making vertical wagers, or rollers as I like to say, include the 2 favorites and throw in Cassiar at 5-1 who looked strong breaking her maiden on first ask.
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Moving down the race card, the Florida Derby is scheduled for 6:42 PM eastern, but before that, weather.com has thunderstorms scheduled in the 5 o’clock hour. They’re on the radar moving up from Cuba but they could hit or miss.
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There are no scratches yet in the 10 horse Fla Derby field, so it’s setting up to be a great race. I see the 4 horses that are 5-1 or less are solid. You have the FOY winner who will be favored, the Holy Bull runner-up and Street Sense runner-up, and then the Disrupter from Todd Pletcher in his first race around two turns.
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One thing that happens almost every year in this race, is some long shot speedster holds on for 2nd or 3rd, and this year it looks like Neoequos at 10-1 ML, who finished a game 3rd in the FOY on March 1. Factor that in to inject some odds into your trifecta and superfecta.
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Over at Oaklawn Park, there are 4 MSW’s for 3yo’s before we even get to the stakes races. You’ll want to consult the Grid for some value on those races, but here’s a hint: watch out for the 1st time starters, especially those with good odds and trainer percentages. Remember, there are no winners yet in these races. The weather is slated to be perfect and sunny all day.
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In the Grade 2 Fantasy Stakes at 7pm ET, we have a field of 9 solid fillies after morning scratches. One thing you’ll see is that there is not much early speed in this race, so expect the speed of favorites Simply Joking and Quietside to hold up. And possibly even the speed of Princess Aliyah at 12-1.
But after those top 2 favorites it’s anyone’s game, and the best two late runners are Kinzie Queen and California Sunset, both at double digit odds, so keep those in mind to round out your super.
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The Arkansas Derby is scheduled for 7:48pm ET right after the Fantasy. The Baffert trainee Cornucopian is the favorite, after winning his only maiden race impressively, giving him the best PF in the field. Plus he has a great name.
Unfortunately in this race, I have them ranked in the exact order of the ML odds. But to round out your superfecta I would include First Division at 20-1 with 2nd LP ranking, and Bestfriend Rocket at 20-1. But you’re going to get chalk at the top of the ticket, whether you want it or not.
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Remember to get the Grid at horseracebetwin.com and good luck today. Dalton out.
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