Apr 03 2017
Doug’s Double Derby Dozen April 3, 2017
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Monday, April 3, 2017
Churchill Downs
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This week we keep the top 3 intact, despite 5 new championship series winners since the last top 24, two weeks ago. Gunnevera stays on top despite losing the Florida Derby, a race he didn’t need to win, and probably could not have with Always Dreaming having it all his way in the breakout performance for Todd Pletcher.
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Gunnevera romps in Fountain of Youth G2, stamping Ky Derby ticket and rising to top spot in points. – Coglianese Photo
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In the Kentucky Derby, there should be enough speed in the field, and an extra furlong, for closers such as Gunnevera and J Boys Echo to make significant moves down the stretch. One Liner has tactical speed and has finished well in all 3 career races. So those 3 stay at the top.
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It’s very tempting to move all 4 of Pletcher’s top steeds to the 1-4 positions, because Antonio Sano is relatively unknown, and Romans’ colt really only has one significant win, but we will wait until Super Saturday April 8, to make changes. Next weekend will include the G1 races: Santa Anita Derby, Blue Grass Stakes, and Wood Memorial.
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Even so, whoever wins the Arkansas Derby G1 on the 15th may be promoted to #1, and that will likely be one of Pletcher’s top quartet. The only problem with the Arkansas is that it’s only 3 weeks before the Kentucky Derby, which puts the horse on a grueling schedule of running the Preakness 2 weeks later if it is to become a Triple Crown champion, always a temptation for Derby winners.
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So here’s the top 24 for now, in order as we see it, in an ever-changing order this year, unlike last year’s which remained quite static all year. You can bet there will be some turmoil over the next two weeks with the major preps and some new champions.
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Rank | Horse | Sire | Trainer | Fin | Race | Date | Pts | Next (Probable) | In |
1 | Gunnevera | Dialed In | Sano Antonio | 3rd | Fla Derby G1 | 1-Apr | 84 | Kentucky Derby 5/6 | Y |
2 | J Boys Echo | Mineshaft | Romans Dale | 1st | Gotham G3 | 4-Mar | 53 | Blue Grass G1 4/8 | Y |
3 | One Liner | Into Mischief | Pletcher Todd A | 1st | Southwest G3 | 20-Feb | 10 | Ark Derby G1 4/15 | |
4 | Always Dreaming | Bodemeister | Pletcher Todd A | 1st | Fla Derby G1 | 1-Apr | 100 | Kentucky Derby 5/6 | Y |
5 | Tapwrit | Tapit | Pletcher Todd A | 1st | TB Derby G2 | 11-Mar | 54 | Blue Grass G1 4/8 | Y |
6 | Malagacy | Shackleford | Pletcher Todd A | 1st | Rebel G2 | 18-Mar | 50 | Ark Derby G1 4/15 | Y |
7 | Girvin | Tale Of Ekati | Sharp Joe | 1st | La Derby G2 | 1-Apr | 150 | Kentucky Derby 5/6 | Y |
8 | Classic Empire | Pioneerof The Nile | Casse Mark | 3rd | Holy Bull G3 | 4-Feb | 32 | Ark Derby G1 4/15 | |
9 | Cloud Computing | Maclean’S Music | Brown Chad C | 2nd | Gotham G3 | 4-Mar | 20 | Wood Mem G1 4/8 | |
10 | Practical Joke | Into Mischief | Brown Chad C | 2nd | FOY G2 | 4-Mar | 34 | Blue Grass G1 4/8 | |
11 | Thunder Snow (Ire) | Helmet | Suroor Saeed | 1st | UAE Derby G1 | 25-Mar | 100 | Kentucky Derby 5/6 | Y |
12 | Mccraken | Ghostzapper | Wilkes Ian R | 1st | Sam Davis G3 | 11-Feb | 10 | Blue Grass G1 4/8 | |
13 | Sonneteer | Midnight Lute | Desormeaux Keith | 2nd | Rebel G2 | 18-Mar | 20 | Ark Derby G1 4/15 | |
14 | Battalion Runner | Unbridled’S Song | Pletcher Todd A | 1st | OC75k-n1x | 3-Feb | 0 | Wood Mem G1 4/8 | |
15 | Untrapped | Trappe Shot | Asmussen Steven M | 3rd | Rebel G2 | 18-Mar | 34 | Ark Derby G1 4/15 | |
16 | El Areeb | Exchange Rate | Lynch Cathal | 3rd | Gotham G3 | 4-Mar | 30 | Wood Mem G1 4/8 | |
17 | Irish War Cry | Curlin | Motion H Graham | 7th | FOY G2 | 4-Mar | 10 | Wood Mem G1 4/8 | |
15 | Hence | Street Boss | Asmussen Steven M | 1st | Sun Derby G3 | 26-Mar | 50 | Kentucky Derby 5/6 | Y |
19 | Iliad | Ghostzapper | O’Neill Doug | 2nd | San Felipe G2 | 11-Mar | 20 | SA Derby G1 4/8 | |
20 | Term of Art | Tiznow | O’Neill Doug | 3rd | San Felipe G2 | 11-Mar | 11 | SA Derby G1 4/8 | |
21 | Gormley | Malibu Moon | Shirreffs John | 4th | San Felipe G2 | 11-Mar | 25 | SA Derby G1 4/8 | |
22 | Petrov | Flatter | Moquett Ronald E | 4th | Rebel G2 | 18-Mar | 13 | Ark Derby G1 4/15 | |
23 | Guest Suite (g) | Quality Road | Howard Neil J | 4th | Risen Star G2 | 25-Feb | 15 | Ark Derby G1 4/15 | |
24 | Epicharis (JPN) | Gold Allure | Hagiwara Kiyoshi | 2nd | UAE Derby G1 | 25-Mar | 40 | Kentucky Derby 5/6 | Y |