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Weekend Winners Club

Jan 27 2022

Gulfstream Park Sat.Jan.29: $5 Million Pegasus World Cup Series Precap and Picks

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Thursday, January 27, 2022.  Gulfstream Park is having it’s biggest race day of the year on Saturday January 29, hosting the Pegasus World Cup Series along with some other assorted graded stakes races for over $5 million purse money, with great racers from around the world.

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In addition, the Rainbow Pick 6 will carryover $443k into a pool that will certainly surpass $1 million to sweeten the deal. The jackpot Rainbow 6 begins in race 7 with the William McKnight G3 and consists of all graded stakes races, including the Pegasus races, all of which are covered below.

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The featured races are the Pegasus World Cup G1 on Dirt worth $3 million, the PWC Turf G1 for $1 million, and the PWC F&M Turf for $500k.  Also on the outstanding race card are the Fred Hooper G3, Inside Information G2, McKnight G3,and La Prevoyante G3, collectively worth $700k. 

The Pegasus World Cup G1's on dirt and turf highlight January for Gulfstream.
The Pegasus World Cup G1’s on dirt and turf highlight January for Gulfstream.

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Altogether on the 14 race docket there are 12 races with about 140 horses ready to run before Saturday morning scratches.  It is scheduled to be the coldest day since last winter for south Florida, starting off the day in the low 50s and progressing to maybe 60, so the horses won’t get too hot.  First post is at 1130AM, and the stakes racing begins at 130PM.

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We’ll break down the big races here 2 days ahead of time and point out some other great long shot specials (LSS) to use along the way if they suit up to race at post time.  Last week we gave you the 28-1 long shot winner of the Lecomte G3 as our LSS of the day. What you want to do first is download Saturday’s free Gulfstream Grid, no strings attached, just click the download link. Morning scratches processed.

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R12 5:34ET 9f D PWCInvit-G1 4 UP 

Nine of America’s best race horses have accepted the invitation to run in this year’s edition, and they probably all will run. Odds are shown are official morning line prices.

The chalk: 

Knicks Go (6-5) is the defending champion and was thought to be unbeatable at this point last year, having won 4 in a row including the BC Dirt Mile.  He then finished 4th in the Saudi Cup and Met Mile, both G1’s but not great performances.  His last 4, unbeatable again including a BC Classic G1 win last out, answering any distance questions. He draws the 1 post where he will break on top and get the lead early as he has done in every race for Brad Cox.  It will be his last race before retiring to Taylor so they would like to go out on top.

Knicks Go won the Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile in 2020 and the BC Classic in 2021.
Knicks Go won the Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile in 2020 and the BC Classic in 2021.

Life Is Good (7-5) is the 2nd choice and also has also broke on top and had the lead at 1st call in all 7 career races, first for Baffert and now Pletcher in the last 4. Something will have to give between these speedsters, both of whom refuse to not have the lead at any point in the race.  His only loss is by a neck in a G1 last year, and last out he won the BC Dirt Mile. Perhaps the next Knicks Go in the making.

The speed duel will ensue early and it will be interesting to see exactly who breaks on top and if they go neck and neck blazing around the track setting record fractions for 9f.  Add to it Stiletto Boy, who likes to get the early lead also but can in no way match the speed of the top two.

The Long Shots: 

The other 7 not in chalk are all long shots on the morning line.  Frankly the only reason any of them have a shot on paper is if the speed duel up front gets so intense that they burn out. It would take the worst race of either favorite in the last 2 years for another to have a winning chance.  But maybe you want to craft a little trifecta or superfecta that won’t pay much.  Who are the best of the rest?

Title Ready (20-1) the top LSS hasn’t done much in his last 2 stakes races but pops up with some strong runs here and there. You always have to look at top LP to hit in a 9f race with early speed.

Endorsed (20-1) LSS2 looks like he’s in a strange spot after running sprint distance in his last 8, but has delivered 4 strong closing moves on fast paced races since Maker took over as coach.

Sir Winston (12-1) LSS3 had a great time at Woodbine late last year after taking almost a year off subsequent to some very poor dirt outings.  We’ll see if he is ready for dirt action again.

Empty Tomb (20-1) is the only other contender that can possibly fit into the super.

There you go, two faves to key and 4 longshots to wheel.

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R11 4:49ET 9f T PWCTfInv-G1 4 UP 

The chalk:

Colonel Liam (3-1) appears to be a deserving favorite and is the defending champion, however he hasn’t raced in 7 months after a subpar Manhattan in which he was going too fast early.  Before that he had 4 consecutive wins with Irad Ortiz up.  In fact, his lifetime record is 5-0 under Ortiz, 0 for 4 without him. Irad will be up on Saturday so that bodes well, along with top LP and Power ratings.

Never Surprised (7-2) also seems to have good reason for chalk having won two turf stakes going away, subsequent to 3 runner-up finishes in graded stakes.  He’s def a young up and comer, but I dislike choosing an E8 in a 9f turf race, especially when there’s another legit E8 in Channel Cat, a 7YO with vast graded stakes experience.  A speed duel could ensue.

The Long Shots:

Doswell (10-1) loos like he’s rounding into top form again.  Last year he followed up a Ft. Lauderdale G2 runner-up finish with his best career race, a 3rd place in the McKnight G3, a 12f on the undercard of this race. This year he’s coming off a win in the Ft Lauderdale. Alvarado up for all four.

Hit the Road (8-1) posted the best last-race PF in this field in an SA G2. I assume there’s a reason he’s run at exactly one mile in his past 10 races, but connections are hard pressed to decline an invite to a $1 million race.

Sacred Life (6-1) will likely remain the 3rd choice after alternating 1-head wins with Field Pass his last two races, winning the 9f G3.  He’s a solid late runner who would benefit from a speed duel up front.  Irad Ortiz will be up for the 4th consecutive time. The duo were 4th here 2 years ago.

Field Pass (10-1) got the earlier jump as usual and outlasted Sacred Life by a head last out in a 8.5f G2.  If we’re to believe the Knickerbocker G3 PF’s, they’re both solid contenders here.

Channel Cat (12-1) normally runs the longer distances of 10f and up, but could benefit from a return to the shorter 9f distance of this year’s race.

Atone (20-1) and Flavius (15-1) have a good chance to hit the board for Michael Maker if the pace doesn’t get too heated up front.

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Other long shots specials to look out for throughout the day:

Race 1: Diligent 8-1, Marisa’s Mission 12-1, and Strike Appeal 30-1 super LSS.

Race 2: Mad Mocha and Make Way both 15-1, and both of which will be bet down.

Race 3:  Final Belle 8-1, Serenade A Kitten 20-1, Passion Plus, Earth Strike, Magna Mater 15-1. Wide open.

Race 4:  Bourbon Heist and Mackillop 6-1, Magia Nera and Umbra 12-1, No Nay Franklin 15-1

Race 6: Mischief Afoot 6-1, Wolfie’s Dynaghost 10-1, Fancy Liquor 8-1, Order and Law, Tiesto 12-1

Race 7 G3: Bama Breeze 12-1, Sole Volante 20-1, Mandate 30-1

Race 8 G2:  Crumb Bun 12-1, Dance D’Oro 6-1, Family Time 20-1, Pacific Gale 8-1

Race 9 G3:  In a Hurry 12-1, Gift List 15-1, Lady Speightspeare 8-1

Race 10 G3:  Girolamo’s Attack 12-1

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The last two races we covered first so there you have all the best long shots to crowbar into your exotic bets and win some big money on the day. Good luck!

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Remember you can get the Grid for all the major tracks and races here, just choose your best option of our great winter packages.  

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