Loading ...Nov 18 2020
2021 AFH 2YO Power Rankings
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The two year old power rankings known as the American Free Handicap (AFH), were developed in 2019 to fill in the void after the discontinuation of the Experimental Free Handicap and the lack of other available and reliable 2yo rankings. These are developed using statistical methods, as described below the table. The juvenile season will end in December.
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2021 is the third year and we have made much progress since the inaugural run. The rankings are geared towards the classic distance races of over a mile, however there is no bias for turf, dirt, or artificial surfaces. The ranking is completely objective and uses earnings and stakes performances as the basis.
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The rankings don’t discriminate against sex, as the points for the objectified races are the same for open, male, or female, but you can sort the table by sex. As was done last year, we’ll see how this year’s rankings turn out and make adjustments again next year. 2yo AFH archives here.
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If you want objectivity combined with opinion for the Derby contenders, look for the Double Derby Dozen series which will begin in November. Kentucky Derby Central.
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Echo Zulu solidified her #1 AFH ranking with a dominant performance in the 2021 BC Juvenile Fillies G1 at Del Mar
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The 2021 season still isn’t complete as there are still 3 races worth $1.4 million in purse money up for grabs, but Echo Zulu will likely remain atop the rankings. If you don’t believe she belongs on top, consider that her final time in the Breeders Cup Fillies was 1/4 second faster than that of BC Juvenile champion Corniche.
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Here are this week’s current 2yo rankings. You may sort it by sex, sire, earnings, wins, etc. If you don’t see starts or earnings, they have not raced in the US (yet). Below the top 100 is a table of the rated 2yo races. * Earnings are for North America only.
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2021 American Free Handicap Top 100 Juvenile Rankings
| S | Rank | Horse Name | Sire Name | 1st | 2nd | Total $ | PWR |
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| F | 1 | Echo Zulu | Gun Runner | 4 | 0 | $1,480,000 | 127 |
| M | 2 | Corniche | Quality Road | 3 | 0 | $1,262,000 | 126 |
| M | 3 | Tiz the Bomb | Hit It a Bomb | 3 | 1 | $617,841 | 126 |
| M | 4 | Pappacap | Gun Runner | 2 | 2 | $576,000 | 126 |
| F | 5 | Pizza Bianca | Fastnet Rock (AUS) | 2 | 1 | $637,635 | 126 |
| F | 6 | Juju's Map | Liam's Map | 2 | 2 | $620,800 | 126 |
| M | 7 | Double Thunder | Super Saver | 3 | 1 | $368,850 | 124 |
| M | 8 | Red Danger | Orb | 3 | 1 | $452,810 | 124 |
| F | 9 | Eda | Munnings | 4 | 1 | $370,000 | 124 |
| M | 10 | Modern Games (IRE) | Dubawi (IRE) | 1 | 0 | $520,000 | 124 |
| M | 11 | Octane | Brethren | 3 | 1 | $410,000 | 123 |
| M | 12 | Rattle N Roll | Connect | 2 | 0 | $379,460 | 123 |
| M | 13 | Gunite | Gun Runner | 2 | 2 | $313,988 | 122 |
| F | 14 | Outfoxed | Valiant Minister | 2 | 0 | $372,000 | 122 |
| F | 15 | Turnerloose | Nyquist | 2 | 0 | $351,300 | 122 |
| M | 16 | Finneus | Stay Thirsty | 2 | 3 | $266,366 | 121 |
| M | 17 | Wit | Practical Joke | 2 | 1 | $252,000 | 121 |
| F | 18 | Tarabi | First Samurai | 1 | 1 | $270,600 | 121 |
| M | 19 | Jack Christopher | Munnings | 2 | 0 | $330,000 | 121 |
| M | 20 | Mackinnon | American Pharoah | 3 | 1 | $333,860 | 119 |
| F | 21 | Averly Jane | Midshipman | 4 | 0 | $343,140 | 119 |
| M | 22 | Pinehurst | Twirling Candy | 2 | 0 | $272,000 | 119 |
| F | 23 | Cairo Memories | Cairo Prince | 2 | 1 | $232,000 | 118 |
| M | 24 | Ironstone | Mr Speaker | 2 | 3 | $238,104 | 118 |
| F | 25 | Hidden Connection | Connect | 2 | 0 | $307,525 | 118 |
| M | 26 | Dakota Gold | Freud | 2 | 0 | $385,000 | 118 |
| F | 27 | Dream Lith | Medaglia d'Oro | 2 | 0 | $313,455 | 117 |
| M | 28 | Slow Down Andy | Nyquist | 2 | 1 | $249,850 | 116 |
| M | 29 | Smile Happy | Runhappy | 2 | 0 | $284,810 | 116 |
| M | 30 | Geno | Big Brown | 2 | 1 | $337,250 | 116 |
| F | 31 | Koala Princess | More Than Ready | 2 | 0 | $334,400 | 115 |
| F | 32 | Grace Adler | Curlin | 2 | 0 | $226,500 | 115 |
| M | 33 | Commandperformance | Union Rags | 0 | 2 | $220,000 | 115 |
| F | 34 | Venti Valentine | Firing Line | 2 | 1 | $228,750 | 114 |
| M | 35 | Make It Big | Neolithic | 3 | 0 | $303,828 | 114 |
| M | 36 | Classic Causeway | Giant's Causeway | 1 | 1 | $181,100 | 114 |
| F | 37 | Gerrymander | Into Mischief | 2 | 2 | $235,500 | 114 |
| M | 38 | Senbei | Candy Ride (ARG) | 4 | 1 | $364,857 | 114 |
| F | 39 | Twilight Gleaming (IRE) | National Defense (GB) | 2 | 1 | $576,740 | 113 |
| M | 40 | Cajun's Magic | Cajun Breeze | 2 | 3 | $232,900 | 113 |
| F | 41 | Sandstone | Street Sense | 2 | 0 | $238,985 | 113 |
| F | 42 | Yo Cuz | Laoban | 1 | 0 | $277,800 | 113 |
| M | 43 | Shipsational | Midshipman | 3 | 0 | $278,750 | 112 |
| M | 44 | God of Love | Cupid | 2 | 0 | $208,993 | 112 |
| M | 45 | Albahr (GB) | Dubawi (IRE) | 1 | 0 | $187,904 | 112 |
| F | 46 | Wild Beauty (GB) | Frankel (GB) | 1 | 0 | $187,904 | 111 |
| M | 47 | Coinage | Tapit | 2 | 0 | $204,750 | 111 |
| F | 48 | California Angel | California Chrome | 2 | 0 | $214,700 | 110 |
| M | 49 | Messier | Empire Maker | 2 | 2 | $165,600 | 110 |
| M | 50 | Giant Game | Giant's Causeway | 1 | 0 | $242,400 | 110 |
| M | 51 | High Oak | Gormley | 2 | 0 | $177,500 | 109 |
| F | 52 | Morning Matcha | Central Banker | 2 | 3 | $247,390 | 109 |
| F | 53 | Bella Dona | Attila's Storm | 5 | 1 | $255,068 | 109 |
| F | 54 | Nest | Curlin | 2 | 0 | $205,000 | 109 |
| M | 55 | Major General | Constitution | 2 | 0 | $232,525 | 108 |
| F | 56 | Free Like a Girl | El Deal | 5 | 3 | $281,473 | 108 |
| M | 57 | Mo Donegal | Uncle Mo | 2 | 0 | $197,800 | 107 |
| M | 58 | Tejano Twist | Practical Joke | 3 | 4 | $280,670 | 108 |
| F | 59 | Kaufymaker | Jimmy Creed | 1 | 1 | $214,500 | 107 |
| F | 60 | Sail By | Astern (AUS) | 2 | 1 | $193,900 | 107 |
| M | 61 | Kavod | Lea | 3 | 1 | $255,500 | 107 |
| F | 62 | Malavath (IRE) | Mehmas (IRE) | 0 | 1 | $170,000 | 105 |
| F | 63 | Marissa's Lady | Violence | 3 | 0 | $250,712 | 105 |
| M | 64 | Grafton Street | War Front | 1 | 1 | $158,073 | 102 |
| M | 65 | Howling Time | Not This Time | 2 | 0 | $202,015 | 102 |
| M | 66 | Rockefeller | Medaglia d'Oro | 2 | 1 | $162,500 | 99 |
| F | 67 | Disco Ebo | Weigelia | 3 | 2 | $210,460 | 100 |
| M | 68 | Annapolis | War Front | 2 | 0 | $165,000 | 98 |
| F | 69 | November Rein | Street Boss | 2 | 1 | $177,750 | 98 |
| M | 70 | Dash Attack | Munnings | 2 | 0 | $205,440 | 99 |
| F | 71 | Consumer Spending | More Than Ready | 2 | 1 | $185,000 | 98 |
| M | 72 | Nakatomi | Firing Line | 2 | 1 | $175,400 | 96 |
| F | 73 | Verylittlecents | Goldencents | 2 | 0 | $177,480 | 96 |
| M | 74 | Chattalot | Midnight Lute | 3 | 0 | $199,095 | 98 |
| F | 75 | Ain't Easy | Into Mischief | 2 | 0 | $162,000 | 95 |
| F | 76 | Classy Edition | Classic Empire | 3 | 0 | $184,250 | 95 |
| F | 77 | Mystic Eyes | Maclean's Music | 2 | 1 | $164,000 | 92 |
| M | 78 | Cattin | Neolithic | 2 | 0 | $164,550 | 91 |
| M | 79 | Wheres Brayden | Artful Run | 3 | 1 | $168,505 | 91 |
| F | 80 | Buy the Best | Tapiture | 4 | 1 | $177,480 | 94 |
| F | 81 | Tizplenty | Speightstown | 2 | 0 | $166,229 | 89 |
| M | 82 | Kiss the Sky | Twirling Candy | 1 | 2 | $160,700 | 89 |
| M | 83 | Thedayofthegrey | Twinspired | 4 | 0 | $175,500 | 93 |
| F | 84 | Girl With a Dream | Practical Joke | 3 | 1 | $170,720 | 92 |
| F | 85 | Penny Saver | Super Saver | 2 | 1 | $170,480 | 91 |
| M | 86 | Osbourne | Tapiture | 1 | 2 | $156,720 | 85 |
| M | 87 | Go Bears Go (IRE) | Kodi Bear (IRE) | 0 | 1 | $170,000 | 91 |
| F | 88 | Poppy Flower | Lea | 1 | 3 | $162,500 | 84 |
| M | 89 | Slipstream | More Than Ready | 2 | 0 | $167,600 | 89 |
| M | 90 | Dance Code | Honor Code | 3 | 0 | $157,260 | 81 |
| M | 91 | The Minkster | English Channel | 2 | 0 | $166,223 | 88 |
| M | 92 | Silent Runner | Silent Name (JPN) | 3 | 3 | $166,177 | 87 |
| M | 93 | Lightening Larry | Uncaptured | 3 | 3 | $165,610 | 87 |
| F | 94 | At the Spa | Outwork | 3 | 0 | $165,580 | 86 |
| F | 95 | Secret Oath | Arrogate | 2 | 0 | $165,167 | 85 |
| M | 96 | Local Motive | Divining Rod | 3 | 0 | $164,160 | 83 |
| F | 97 | Holy Justice | Harry's Holiday | 3 | 1 | $163,288 | 81 |
| F | 98 | Derrynane | Quality Road | 2 | 0 | $160,270 | 77 |
| F | 99 | Bubble Rock | More Than Ready | 2 | 1 | $157,500 | 76 |
| M | 100 | Mowins | Mohaymen | 3 | 2 | $156,402 | 73 |
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Some notes about the new AFH juvenile rankings:
• Based on North American racing but some international stakes races are included
• No bias against sex, pedigree, surface, or connections
• Based on track performance including win, place, show, earnings, and stakes racing
• Updated after all weekend racing is conducted
• Designed to become more accurate as the year progresses.
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Here are the specific races used for the AFH rankings.
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2021 Juvenile Races used to grade the American Free Handicap
Track Date Dst Sf Race Winner Beyer EQB
Churchill 04-28 5 D Kentucky Juvenile S Averly Jane 86 95
Belmont 06-03 5.5 D Astoria Stakes (f) Happy Soul 81 96
Belmont 06-04 5.5 D Tremont Stakes Overbore
Churchill 06-26 6 D Debutante Stakes Behave Virginia 83 92
Churchill 06-26 6 D Bashford Manor G3 Double Thunder 92
Saratoga 07-15 6 D Schuylerville G3 (f) Pretty Birdie
Saratoga 07-17 6 D Sanford G3 Wit 90 100
Del Mar 08-06 6 D Sorrento G2 (f) Elm Drive 85 93
Del Mar 08-07 6 D Best Pal G2 Pappacap 88 95
Saratoga 08-08 6.5 D Adirondack G2 (f) Wicked Halo 81
Saratoga 08-14 6.5 D Saratoga Special G2 High Oak 90 95
Saratoga 08-27 6.5 D Funny Cide 200k S Senbei 95
Saratoga 08-27 6.5 D Seeking the Ante 200k (f) S November Rein 88
Gulfstream 08-28 7 D FS Susan's Girl 200k (f) S Outfoxed 95
Gulfstream 08-28 7 D FS Affirmed 200k S Octane 92 97
Woodbine 08-29 6.5 A Muskoka 200k (f) S Baksheesh 82
Woodbine 08-29 6.5 A Simcoe 200k S Ironstone 88 103
Saratoga 09-01 8.5 T With Anticipation G3 (T) Coinage 85 99
Del Mar 09-05 7 D Del Mar Debutante G1 (f) Grace Adler 93
Monmouth 09-05 8 D Sapling 201k Double Thunder 92
Saratoga 09-05 7 D Spinaway G1 (f) Echo Zulu 92 100
Del Mar 09-06 7 D Del Mar Futurity G1 Pinehurst 86 90
Ky Downs 09-06 8 T Ky Juvenile Fillies 500k (f) Turnerloose 90
Ky Downs 09-06 8 T Ky Juvenile Mile 500k Tiz the Bomb 107
Monmouth 09-06 8 D Sorority 200k (f) Runup 78
Saratoga 09-06 7 D Hopeful G1 Gunite 81 100
Ky Downs 09-09 6.5 T KD Juvenile Sprint 500k Red Danger 87
Ky Downs 09-12 6.5 T Ainsworth 500k (f) Koala Princess 103
Churchill 09-18 8.5 D Iroquois G3 BC Major General 82
Churchill 09-18 8.5 D Pocohontas G3 (f) Hidden Connection 84 90
Albuquerque 09-19 6 D NM State Futurity 235k Bella Dona 78
Woodbine 09-19 8 T Natalma G1 BC (f) Wild Beauty (GB) 89 100
Woodbine 09-19 8 T Summer G1 BC Albahr (GB) 93
Gulfstream 09-25 8.5 D FS My Dear Girl (f) 400k Outfoxed 95
Gulfstream 09-25 8.5 D FS In Reality 400k Octane 92 97
Monmouth 09-26 8 T NowNowNow 500k Dakota Gold 83 105
Santa Anita 10-01 8.5 D Chandelier (f) G2 Ain't Easy 85
Santa Anita 10-01 8.5 D American Pharoah G1 Corniche 98 98
Laurel 10-02 8.5 T Laurel Futurity 150k Ready to Purrform
Laurel 10-02 8.5 T Selima (f) 150k Consumer Spending 103
Belmont 10-02 8.5 T Miss Grillo (f) G2 Sail By 93
Belmont 10-02 8 D Champagne G1 Jack Christopher 92 104
Belmont 10-03 8.5 T Pilgrim G2 Annapolis 89 95
Santa Anita 10-03 8 T Surfer Girl (f) 203k Cairo Memories 102
Santa Anita 10-03 8 T Zuma Beach 203k Mackinnon 106
Belmont 10-03 8 D Frizette (f) G1 Echo Zulu 100
Keeneland 10-08 8.5 D Alcibiades (f) G1 Juju's Map 95
Keeneland 10-09 8.5 D Breeders' Futurity G1 Rattle N Roll 99
Keeneland 10-10 8.5 T Bourbon Stakes G2 Tiz the Bomb 107
Keeneland 10-10 5.5 T Indian Summer 200k Averly Jane 95
Woodbine 10-10 8.5 T Cup and Saucer 251k God of Love 95
Keeneland 10-13 8.5 T Jessamine (f) G2 California Angel 100
Woodbine 10-23 8.5 A Princess Elizabeth (f) 250k Moira 93
Woodbine 10-30 7 A Display 150k Hicksy
Woodbine 10-30 7 A Glorious Song (f) 150k Aubrieta 93
Belmont 10-30 8 D Maid of the Mist (f) 250k Venti Valentine 83
Belmont 10-30 8 D Sleepy Hollow 250k Shipsational 94
Churchill 10-31 8.5 D Rags to Riches (f) 200k Sandstone 97
Churchill 10-31 8.5 D Street Sense 200k Howling Time 94
Del Mar 11-05 8 T Golden Mile 150k Astronomer
Del Mar 11-05 7 D Golden State Juve Fillies (f) 176k Big Switch
Del Mar 11-05 7 D Golden State Juvenile 178k Finneus 84
Del Mar 11-05 8.5 D BC Juvenile Fillies (f) G1 Echo Zulu 100
Del Mar 11-05 8 T BC Juve Fillies Turf (f) G1 Pizza Bianca 106
Del Mar 11-05 8.5 D BC Juvenile G1 Corniche 98
Del Mar 11-05 8 T BC Juvenile Turf G1 Modern Games (IRE) 109
Belmont 11-07 8 D Nashua G3 Rockefeller 90
Del Mar 11-14 7 D Bob Hope G3 Messier 98
Churchill 11-27 8.5 D Golden Rod (f) G2 Dream Lith 89
Churchill 11-27 8.5 D KY Jockey Club G2 Smile Happy 96
Del Mar 11-27 8 T Jimmy Durante (f) G3 Tezzaray (GB)
Del Mar 11-28 8 T Cecil Demille G3 Verbal
Woodbine 11-28 8.5 A Mazarine (f) G3 Mrs. Barbara
Woodbine 11-28 8.5 A Grey G3 God of Love 95
Aqueduct 12-04 9 D Remsen G2 Mo Donegal 97
Aqueduct 12-04 9 D Demoiselle (f) G2 Nest 86
Los Alamitos 12-04 8.5 D Starlet (f) G1 Eda 95
Parx 12-07 7 D Penn Nursery 200k Witty
Los Alamitos 12-11 8.5 D Los Alamitos Futurity G2 Slow Down Andy 99
Remington 12-17 8 D Springboard Mile 400k Make it Big 84 92
Aqueduct 12-18 7 D NY Stallion 5th Ave (f) 500k Geno 90
Aqueduct 12-18 7 D NY Stallion Great White 500k Yo Cuz 82
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